Friday, August 7, 2026

The Morning Summary, April 25, 2011

8/6/26:

Folks may want to know some stats. This blog was cross-posted from the original blog, and so this post was on the original blog. It should still be there, but this update won't be. Different blog now.

I'll give some general stats for this blog starting now.

All time views, per Google's Blogger Platform: 361464

April 25, 2011 : The original post:

The statistics:

Time approx 4:30 am

Sitemeter; Mon. am. 4618; v. Sun. am 4599; 19 up 1 from Sun

Blogger: Sun. 83, up 24 from Sat. (59); overnight is 12 so far, compared with 21 this time yesterday.

Nothing to report on bids, nor sales, still zero on revenues, no clicks on Amazon.  Nobody appears to be clicking on the Products page nor on the Marketing pages.

New record for this blog on Blogger pageviews.

YouTube page: 848 v 847 channel views previously, 493 v. 492 upload views previously. Channel views improve by 1, upload views improve by 1.

It is gratifying to hit new records. On the other hand, the lack of marketing success is frustrating.

Update:

I think I am going to be lite with the blogging today. That's my agenda today. Just to think.


Update:

One thing I thought about was the Space Show yesterday. If you were to get large quantities of turpentine and nitric acid in orbit at a reasonable cost, that could be a plus. On the other hand, these hypergolics may be hard to find and to synthesize in space. It would be necessary to get this up there somehow. Once up there, they can be more useful than trying to store cryogenics. The big dumb rocket could send up buttloads of the stuff. Also, the Space Cannon concept may be able to send it up at a reasonable price.

Also, after I finished the above post, I started reading up on fusion. I may need to spend some time in these forums.

Update:

It is interesting to go back and look at previous posts like this.  It is all an education, just like yesterday.  I didn't know about Interorbital until I listened to the Space Show.  It is still a matter of getting educated on what's out there.

If I may interject a thought into these discussions.  Everybody is going at this in their own way.  But what if no single way exists?  That's a question that should be considered.  Take fusion, for example.  The fact that fusion can take place now is not in dispute.  The problem is getting it to do what we want.  But if we want to do something like generating electricity, it may not be possible by a direct approach.  Let's say if you wanted to use fusion for propulsion and then use that propulsion to emplace solar stations that would send energy back to the Earth.  But I don't think anyone is thinking that way.  Instead, they want to get it to produce net electrical power.  Maybe that isn't even necessary.  That's my point. 

Thursday, August 6, 2026

The human factor in research

8/6/26:

I'll take this opportunity to disclose that I've increased my position in Focus Fusion. This took place more than a month ago, but I've kept it quiet. Not sure about what to say about it. Let's say it's a hope and a prayer that this ship comes in soon.

4/16/26:

Today is an oldies kind of day. I'm reviewing posts for those which gathered the most attention. This one and the one previously posted this morning caught my eye. So I wrote an update for each.

What could be more human than finding something and then forgetting it? Then finding it again? The same is true on the historic scale as it is on the personal. I'm thinking of the Roman era, which was more advanced than some may have thought. Roman life may have been like living in nineteenth century, but it was a very long time ago--in ancient times. When Roman civilization collapsed in the Western half of Europe, there was an era called the Dark Ages. Life became primitive for centuries. It took a long time to recover.

There are lessons in history if you bother to notice. It is a lot like studying this blog and rediscovering posts like these. A question comes to mind: what does the future hold? As of now, there is no solution to the energy problem. There seems to be a war in Iran that is closely related to the problem of energy. If the energy problem were solved, would that help bring about world peace? It's a thought.

5/20/11:

Not too long ago, I did a number of posts on the subject of Rossi Focardi fusion research.  Then, yesterday, I came across the energy from Thorium proposition.  Both are attempting to do the same thing: generate energy from the atom.  The difference between the two is that one is fusion while the other is fission.  The similarities are that both had a lot of promise at one point, but seemed to fall by the wayside and recently rediscovered.

There has been a great deal of fear about nuclear energy.  Not to mention the worry about the wastes.  This did not concern me as much as others may have been because of what I read in Dixy Lee Ray's book  Trashing the Planet.  I suspect that a lot of the fear has to do with a lack of understanding which is exacerbated by the way that mishaps get reported in the news.  Hence, the Three Mile Island incident effectively shuts down the nuclear industry here.  A few years later, Chernobyl reinforced that fear.  Now Fukishima just adds to the climate of fear of things nuclear- these things just don't seem safe.  Now, Germany abandons nuclear power.  All of this is an overreaction.  Sadly, it may be unavoidable.  People will fear something they don't understand.   What to do?

The star crossed history of fission has been the impetus for fusion research.  But fusion is much harder.  After all these decades, we still don't have a fusion reactor which is net energy.  But people are looking and looking hard.  As for me, I've been looking closely at the energy issue for several years now.  I came across Dr. Bussard's Polywell concept.  It was one of the first things I wrote about on this blog.  Lately, two other concepts have caught my attention- Focus Fusion and Rossi Focardi's "cold fusion".   My own experience studying these ideas has brought something else to my attention- the human factor.  People fall in love with their ideas.  It is entirely human, but it is also hazardous in its own way.  It may blind us to other paths that we may take.  That's because to fall in love means the exclusion of all other choices.

To fear and to love are all too human.  But it is also possible to learn and keep an open mind.  Unfortunately, when emotions take over, the mind tends to close down.  Reason and logic go overboard and big mistakes can be made.  The reaction to this may draw the reaction- who do you think you are, Spock?  Yeah, maybe you weren't thinking that at all, and the Spock reference turns you off.  I've described times when I got turned off by something only to reconsider.  Sometimes to reconsider can be helpful.  Jumping to conclusions can't be good.  But it is easy to fall into that trap.  I try to avoid that as well as avoiding "drinking the Kool Aid."  I wrote about this Kool Aid stuff on this blog too.  I won't be drinking anybody's Kool Aid.  I'm keeping an open mind.

I haven't fallen in love with any one way of solving the energy problem.  It may turn out that the best way will get overlooked when something else is found.  Such has been the case of fission.  Just looking at the way we generate electricity now may look foolish in the future in comparison to how it might be done better with Thorium reactors.  Thorium reactors are smaller, cheaper and safer.  That is not a mere theoretical possibility.  They have already been built.  They weren't commercialized because it was thought better to be able to make bombs.  Thorium is not useful for making bombs.

However, Rossi Focardi may be right around the corner.  This idea may get the lead on Thorium and it may be back to the sidelines for Thorium.  Frankly, it doesn't make any difference to me who wins.  I think we all win when we solve the energy problem.  If it gets solved by fission or fusion- who cares, as long as it works.

Hydrogen peroxide & baking soda

8/6/26:

Ah, yes. It was about that time when I tried growing tomatoes, but it failed. Obviously, I haven't tried again.

The original post: 8/11/19: ... can help you grow your tomatoes.

It is cheap stuff and it probably works.  But I wouldn't know yet, because I haven't tried it.

It is useful to stockpile videos like these because one of these days...






Wednesday, August 5, 2026

Why go back to the Moon?

8/5/26:

The nation is now committed to going to the Moon again.

Not only the nation, but Elon Musk.

There are practical reasons for going there. There is an abundance of oxygen bound up in the rocks. Oxygen makes up roughly 80% of the reaction mass for the Raptor engines. This reaction mass can be sent to lunar orbit with relatively little cost through the use of propulsion devices on the surface. That could consist of the same kind of technology that flings jets off the new Ford class of Supercarriers--no fuel needed. Not only oxygen, but methane could be produced from the water recycling process used on the ISS. Methane is vented off the ISS, but methane could find some useful purposes on the lunar surface as well. One of these purposes could be in the manufacture of rocket fuels.

The Moon could also be a launching point for the trip to Mars, since its gravitational pull is much less than Earth's. Since the Ship would be full, it could develop a lot more delta-v for a faster trip. A faster trip could lower the exposure of the crew to microgravity and radiation.

The moon could also be developed for its other resources. This and the reasons above could make it economically profitable in its own right. In other words, there's money to be made.

11/19/18: The original post follows: Let's look back at why President Kennedy wanted to go to the Moon.




An analysis of the speech is here.

Key points of the analysis:

  • Fear of Sputnik, and the breakneck speed of advancement of that time prepared the audience in advance for the ambitious undertaking that the President advocated.  America must lead that effort, he said.
  • The march of progress will go on whether we lead it or not.
  • Framed within the context of the Cold War, and inextricably linked to it, it was hard for opponents to be critical of the President's goal.
  • Need to be challenged--- "We go to the moon not because it is easy, because it is hard."
  • There will be sacrifice of life and treasure, but the sacrifice will be worth it.
  • It is like the reason given for climbing Mt. Everest, "it is there".
  • Finally, the speech was said to be well executed and effective.

How does that speech compare with the present?  There is no Cold War, but there could be a conflict of some kind on the horizon with China.  The march of progress has gone on indeed, and is much more broad based than just space.  The US is in danger of being left behind across the board, in my opinion.  As for the need for a challenge, it is probably more necessary now than ever.  This country has become too inured to the easy way out.  We need the challenge so that we don't become too soft.  

Mt. Everest is still there, and so is the Moon.  Why not go?  We may be surprised at what we find.


Tuesday, August 4, 2026

How to use Shotcut in order to make videos

8/4/26:

Almost have forgotten that I have this installed on the computer. Here's another how to video in order to remind me.

7/6/26: The original post is below:

Sunday, August 2, 2026

Where does this blog go for the future?

8/2/26:

The future is now, as far as yours truly is concerned. Whatever I do, I must do soon. Know what I mean, Vern? This is not being morbid, but at this age, anything can happen at any time.

The original post follows:

7/24/24:

Not only will off-grid posts go here, but also cutting edge tech. Not much else to say on the subject right now. Politics has the floor, so to speak.



Correction to right sidebar when I get around to updating it. In the link described as up to date spacex mission info, substitute this link. Still going through the list, so bear with me.



Friday, July 31, 2026

Hot Air: Bad news from NASA: If we don’t reduce carbon emissions, the aliens might come and kill us; Update: Not a NASA report

July 31, 2026:

It seems like a joke to me. Whatever.

August 20, 2011: The original post follows below:

The bad news is, they might not find them. The good news is, the resulting alien invasion will inspire the Keynesian orgy of Paul Krugman’s wettest dreams.

Krugman gets slammed pretty good there, ha ha.   Unfortunately, the incompetence is out there.  The story here is of that very thing.  It has gotten pretty darned bad.  At least NASA isn't that far gone, they have disavowed the report, but the perps are "affiliated" with NASA, nonetheless.  It is really sad that people could write such nonsense.  Even sadder still is that there's people who may believe it.

Saturday, July 25, 2026

So will this... (water purification)



Always interesting to rediscover what was already known for hundreds or even thousands of years.



This will work

Yours truly discover boric acid decades ago. I used it to get rid of roaches. Later on, I heard that boric acid will kill any insect. Given that it is in Borax, and Borax is a soap, its additional potential applications should be self-evident. It is also true that it should be respected. It won't be helpful to swallow any of this stuff yourself. Nor any of your children nor pets.

Thursday, July 23, 2026

Speculation about various mission profiles to the moon using what's already out there or being developed

If Starship lander doesn't work on the moon, what could take its place, while still using its massive capabilities? This is what I speculated upon with the AI vetting my ideas. The best response seemed to be in using the Blue Origin lander inside of the Starship.

Blue Origin also wants to go to the moon. Would a moon lander fit inside of the Starship cargo area?

Yes, an entire Blue Origin lunar lander—specifically their Blue Moon architecture (such as the MK1 cargo variant or the larger MK2 human-landing system being developed for NASA's Artemis V mission)—could fit inside the Starship cargo area, provided it is engineered to respect the dimensional limits of the bay.

Blue Origin's Moon Landers vs. Starship's Cargo Bay

Blue Origin has two primary lunar lander concepts in development:

1. Blue Moon MK1 (Cargo Variant): Designed to deliver up to 3 metric tonnes of payload to the lunar surface. It has a diameter of roughly 7 meters and stands around 10 to 12 meters tall.

- Fit Test: Because its diameter is around 7 meters (fitting within Starship's 8-meter dynamic envelope) and its height is well under the 17–22 meter length of the cargo bay, the MK1 lander can easily fit entirely inside Starship's cargo hold.

2. Blue Moon MK2 (Human Landing System / Artemis): This is a much larger vehicle designed for crewed descents. It utilizes a BE-7 engine powered by liquid hydrogen and liquid oxygen. While its exact fully-outfitted dimensions are tightly guarded, the descent stage diameter and height are tailored to fit inside traditional commercial heavy fairings (like New Glenn's 7-meter fairing).

- Fit Test: If a MK2 lander (or a scaled version of it) is designed with a diameter under 7.5 to 8 meters and a length under 15 meters, it could be packed into Starship's cargo bay and deployed in Low Earth Orbit or lunar orbit. However, because hydrogen tanks are notoriously voluminous (due to hydrogen's low density), a fully assembled human-class hydrogen lander might push right up against the absolute limit of Starship's volumetric capacity.

The Irony of Competitors Utilizing Starship

While Blue Origin and SpaceX are fierce commercial rivals in the new space race, the math of heavy-lift logistics creates a fascinating scenario: SpaceX's Starship is essentially the only vehicle currently operating or in development with a cargo bay large enough to swallow a competing company's heavy lunar lander whole.

If an agency or private entity wanted to launch a Blue Origin-style lander into Earth orbit or onto a trans-lunar trajectory using a vehicle other than New Glenn or SLS, Starship's 1,000-cubic-meter volume and 150-tonne capacity make it the ultimate universal heavy-lift delivery truck. Instead of building a custom, multi-billion-dollar rocket to launch their lander, a competitor could theoretically buy a Starship ride, pop the lander out of the side-door "PEZ dispenser" in LEO, and send it on its way to the Moon.

Here's another idea: What about the Falcon 9 and Dragon? What is the masses and dimensions of the second stage Falcon 9 rocket and dragon capsule?

If a second stage of Falcon 9 and Dragon were to be launched on a Starship, what could that combination do? Could it get to the moon?

Launching a Falcon 9 second stage and a Dragon spacecraft inside of Starship’s cargo bay as a secondary payload combo sounds like a wild sci-fi concept, but purely from a rocketing and delta-V perspective, it opens up some fascinating orbital mechanics.

The Setup: What You're Deploying

If you eject the Falcon 9 second stage and the Dragon capsule out of Starship's cargo door in Low Earth Orbit (LEO), you essentially have a completely independent, highly capable orbital stack.

- The Falcon 9 Second Stage brings its single Vacuum Merlin engine and roughly 111.5 tonnes of RP-1/LOX propellant.

- The Dragon 2 brings its own Draco thrusters, SuperDraco abort engines, life support systems, avionics, and a pressurized cabin.

Could It Get to the Moon?

Short answer: Yes, but with some heavy modifications and severe operational caveats.

If the Falcon 9 second stage were fully fueled in LEO (which would require Starship to act as a gas station to pump propellants into it, or launching the stage pre-fueled inside a pressurized/safe Starship bay), let's look at the delta-V math:

1. Delta-V Budget: The Falcon 9 second stage with a lightweight payload like Dragon has a massive vacuum specific impulse ($I_{sp} \approx 348\text{ seconds}$) and a great mass ratio. Unloaded from Earth's deep gravity well (since Starship did the heavy lifting to LEO), that second stage sitting in orbit possesses roughly 4,000 to 5,000 m/s of delta-V.

2. Trans-Lunar Injection (TLI): To get from LEO to a lunar intercept requires roughly 3,100 to 3,200 m/s of delta-V. Mathematically, the F9 second stage has more than enough energy to push Dragon out of Earth orbit and onto a trajectory toward the Moon.

The Massive Engineering Hurdles

While the raw math works out, executing this in reality would be an engineering nightmare for several reasons:

- Propellant Boil-Off and Compatibility: Falcon 9 uses RP-1 (refined kerosene) and Liquid Oxygen (LOX). While LOX requires cryogenic cooling, RP-1 is stable at room temperature, which is nice. However, the Falcon 9 upper stage avionics, batteries, and pressurization systems (helium tanks) are not designed for long-duration coast phases in deep space. Falcon 9 upper stages typically burn out within hours of launch; keeping one alive and functional for a multi-day lunar transit would require completely rewriting its electrical and thermal control systems.

- Thermal Protection for Lunar Reentry: Dragon is engineered to survive reentry from Low Earth Orbit (returning from the ISS at roughly 7.8 km/s). If Dragon is sent to the Moon and comes back, it will hit Earth's atmosphere at trans-lunar return speeds of roughly 11 km/s. Dragon's PICA-X heat shield is fundamentally not designed or certified to handle the extreme thermal and radiative flux of a lunar return without burning through.

- Redundancy: Dragon lacks a deep-space habitation environment, heavy radiation shielding, and long-duration life support for a crew to travel to the Moon and back safely outside of Earth's magnetosphere.

Why Do It When Starship is Already There?

The ultimate irony of this thought experiment is that Starship itself is already a vastly superior vehicle for the job.

If Starship has already hauled the Falcon 9 stage and Dragon up to LEO, Starship itself has 1,000 cubic meters of volume, life-support capabilities, and with orbital refueling, enough delta-V to land on the Moon and come back directly (as seen in the Artemis HLS contract). Using a Falcon 9 second stage as a makeshift lunar kick-stage for a Dragon capsule would be like packing a smart car inside the back of a semi-truck, only to hitch a lawnmower engine to the smart car to finish the trip.

Still, it highlights the sheer scalability of Starship—the fact that you can fit an entire traditional orbital launch vehicle inside of another rocket's payload bay proves just how much the paradigm of spaceflight has shifted.

How much payload could it land on the Moon?

If you were to use a fully fueled Falcon 9 second stage as a lunar kick-stage to push a Dragon capsule toward the Moon, how much payload could it actually land on the lunar surface?

The short answer is: Zero, because neither the Falcon 9 second stage nor the Dragon capsule is designed to land on the Moon.

Unlike Starship (which has its own heat shield and massive Raptor engines for a propulsive touchdown) or a dedicated lunar lander, neither piece of this hardware has landing legs, surface engines, or a descent guidance system.

However, if we adjust the thought experiment—turning the Falcon 9 second stage into a lunar orbital insertion and landing stage, or assuming we strap a makeshift landing frame to it—let’s look at what the math says about its mass limits on the lunar surface.

1. The Mass Budget in LEO

Once delivered to Low Earth Orbit by Starship, your stack looks like this: - Falcon 9 Second Stage (Dry): ~4,000 kg - Falcon 9 Second Stage Propellant (RP-1/LOX): ~111,500 kg - Dragon 2 Capsule + Trunk (or equivalent payload): ~12,000 kg (max) - Total Stack Mass in LEO: ~127,500 kg (~127.5 tonnes)

2. The Delta-V Journey to the Moon

To take that entire 127.5-tonne stack from LEO, inject it to the Moon (TLI), capture into lunar orbit, and de-orbit/land, you need a staggering amount of delta-V:

1. Trans-Lunar Injection (TLI): ~3,150 m/s

2. Lunar Orbit Insertion (LOI): ~900 m/s (assuming you go into orbit first)

3. Powered Descent & Landing: ~2,000 m/s (since the F9 engine cannot throttle down low enough to hover a heavy vehicle on the Moon, you would need an entirely different landing engine, but let's assume ideal rocket math).

Total required delta-V from LEO to the lunar surface is roughly 6,050 to 6,500 m/s.

3. Running the Tsiolkovsky Rocket Equation

The Falcon 9 second stage's single Vacuum Merlin engine has a specific impulse ($I_{sp}$) of about 348 seconds in a vacuum.

If you burn the entire 111,500 kg of propellant available in the second stage to push the dry stage (4,000 kg) and a payload all the way to a lunar landing:

- With a total initial mass of 127.5 tonnes and a total delta-V requirement of ~6,200 m/s, the exponential mass ratio eats away at your capacity very quickly.

- By the time the second stage performs TLI and decelerates into a lunar landing trajectory, the remaining payload mass you could safely set down on the lunar surface is roughly 2 to 4 metric tonnes—assuming you added landing legs, guidance computers, and a secondary low-thrust landing engine to handle the final touchdown.

The Ultimate Reality Check

While you could theoretically squeeze 2 to 4 tonnes onto the Moon using a hacked-together F9 upper stage, it highlights why this approach is completely impractical:

1. Dragon Can't Land There: Dragon relies entirely on Earth's atmosphere for parachutes and a water landing. On the Moon, it's a dead brick with no air.

2. Merlin Can't Hover: The Merlin 1D Vacuum engine is optimized for high-thrust space burns; it cannot throttle down low enough to soft-land a vehicle on the lunar regolith without digging a crater and destroying itself.

3. Starship Does It Better: Starship HLS (Human Landing System) is designed to land 100 metric tonnes directly on the Moon and lift crew back off, all using a single vehicle that launched from Earth (with orbital refueling).

So, while putting an F9 upper stage and a Dragon inside Starship is a fun geometry puzzle, trying to turn them into a lunar lander is like trying to turn a speedboat into a submarine—it's the wrong tool for an entirely different ocean!

What if we add landing legs and engines?

Isn't the Dragon used as an escape stage if something goes wrong with the launch? If that's true, then how does dragon land?

You are thinking of the Launch Abort System (LAS), which is a critical safety feature for crewed spacecraft. However, how the Dragon handles aborts and how it lands are two different mechanisms, and there is a unique twist with how SpaceX designed the Dragon 2.

How Dragon's Abort System Works

Unlike older spacecraft (like Apollo or Orion) that use a giant tower with solid-propellant rockets on top of the capsule to pull it away from danger, SpaceX’s Crew Dragon does things differently.

- Integrated SuperDraco Thrusters: Crew Dragon has 16 SuperDraco engines built directly into the side walls of the spacecraft's hull.

- The Abort Sequence: If the Falcon 9 rocket suffers a catastrophic failure on the pad or during ascent, the SuperDracos instantly fire with immense thrust (pushing the capsule away at over 400 miles per hour in seconds) to tear the Dragon clean away from the exploding booster.

- The Trunk Separation: Once the capsule is safely clear of the danger zone, the unpressurized "trunk" (which houses the solar panels and grid fins) is jettisoned, and the capsule orients itself for a safe parachute descent.

How Dragon Lands

Despite early plans by SpaceX to have Dragon land propulsively on solid ground using those same SuperDraco thrusters and deployable landing legs, that concept was scrapped.

- Water Landings: Today, every operational Crew Dragon and Cargo Dragon lands exclusively in the ocean (the Atlantic Ocean or Gulf of Mexico off the coast of Florida).

- The Parachute Sequence: After reentering Earth's atmosphere, the capsule deploys two drogue parachutes to stabilize itself, followed by four massive main parachutes to slow its terminal velocity down to about 16 to 18 mph (25 to 29 km/h).

- Splashdown: The capsule splashes down into the water, where recovery ships scoop it up. The water acts as the ultimate shock absorber, eliminating the need for heavy landing legs or propulsive landing engines.

What About Cargo Dragon?

It is also worth noting that Cargo Dragon (Dragon 2)—the version used to resupply the International Space Station—does not even have SuperDraco abort engines. Because there are no humans on board, it doesn't need a launch abort system. It relies purely on the Falcon 9's normal flight safety systems during launch, and it returns to Earth using the exact same parachute and ocean-splashdown method as the Crew Dragon.

Why was propulsive landing scrapped?

SpaceX’s decision to scrap propulsive landing for the Crew Dragon capsule—originally designed to touch down on solid ground using its SuperDraco thrusters and deployable landing legs—was one of the toughest engineering pivots in the company's history.

Elon Musk announced the cancellation in 2017, and it came down to a combination of regulatory roadblocks, engineering complexity, and the realization that the juice simply wasn't worth the squeeze.

Here are the primary reasons why propulsive landing was dropped:

1. NASA’s Certification and Safety Requirements

When SpaceX signed its Commercial Crew contract with NASA to ferry astronauts to the International Space Station, safety was the absolute non-negotiable priority.

- Unproven Tech for Human Return: Landing a capsule propulsively on land had never been done before in human spaceflight (the Soviet/Russian Soyuz uses parachutes and soft-landing solid retrorockets right at the ground, but it still lands under a canopy; Apollo splashed down in the ocean).

- The "Factor of Safety": NASA's safety panels were deeply skeptical. Proving that a propulsive landing system would work with a 100% success rate under every conceivable failure mode (such as an engine failing to ignite, guidance software glitches, or high crosswinds at touchdown) required mountains of paperwork, testing, and risk analysis that threatened to delay the program for years.

2. Qualification of the Landing Legs

Designing structural landing legs that can fold tightly into the aerodynamic contour of a spacecraft, survive the blistering heat of atmospheric reentry (up to 1,600°C), and then successfully deploy and lock in place right before touchdown proved to be a brutal engineering challenge.

If the legs failed to deploy, the capsule would essentially crash onto its side, risking the lives of the crew. Qualifying those mechanisms to NASA's standards was a massive hurdle.

3. The Path of Least Resistance (Parachutes Already Worked)

SpaceX had decades of historical precedent and existing data showing that parachutes and ocean splashdowns work reliably.

- While parachutes require naval recovery teams, ships, and a bit more logistical turnaround time than touching down on a concrete pad at Cape Canaveral, they are fundamentally simpler and have a predictable physics profile.

- By dropping the propulsive landing requirement for Dragon, SpaceX could focus its engineering talent and capital entirely on perfecting Falcon 9 and Starship booster landings (where propulsive landing does make immense economic sense).

The Ultimate Irony

While propulsive landing was scrapped for Dragon, the lessons learned from trying to make it work directly fed into Starship.

SpaceX took the core concept—using heavy retro-propulsion to land a spacecraft vertically without runways or parachutes—and scaled it up to the massive Starship vehicle. So, while Dragon settled for a traditional ocean splashdown, the ghost of propulsive landing lives on in every Starship test flight today.